#OutToLunch: Investment ideas to fulfill your 2024 resolutions

By Denis Jjuuko

This week sees the end of the festive holiday period almost for every organisation especially those in the private and development sectors. Like every new year, many people come up with resolutions, committing themselves to what they would like to achieve. For many, making more money tops the list. Money, makes the world go round or so we are told. If making money is one of your resolutions, here are some ideas:

Trading in FMCGs: There is a saying that cashflow is king. If you want to make money in 2024, you may have to look at businesses with a lot of cashflow. Trading is one such business. You can buy stuff in the morning and have them sold by the evening. This is common in the sector known as fast moving consumer goods or FMCGs. Almost everybody or household uses them every single day. Such goods may include sugar, soap, cooking oil, wheat, bread, and packaged drinks (soda, water, beer, juices etc.). Fuel (petrol and diesel) are considered as FMCGs too. There are so many other goods in this category just like you see in the supermarket or retail shop near you. Because they are highly consumable, they provide good returns to those who trade in them. The margins per item is small but the secret here is in the volumes. Traders earn about Shs500 or so per a carton of soda or bottled water but the numbers they can sell a day can be huge. A small trader doing just 1,000 cartons a day would be able to earn a gross income of half a million shillings. In a six-day week, that would be Shs3m or approximately Shs12m a month.

Treasury bonds and bills/unit trusts: There is an increasing interest in treasury bonds and bills as well as unit trusts. Unlike trading, these are hustle free investment options. You simply walk into your commercial bank with a minimum of Shs100,000 and start investing in bonds and bills. Insurance companies and investment companies regulated by the Uganda Capital Markets Authority offer unit trust investment opportunities some of as little as Shs10,000. Bonds, bills and unit trusts offer returns of about 10% annually. If passive income is your thing, this is where to invest. If you reinvest the interest, in a few years, you can significantly see huge returns due to the power of compound interest.

Real estate: There are some people who are running away from real estate especially rentals to invest in the hustle free treasury bonds and bills and unit trusts, which means there is a gap that is increasing in real estate rentals especially for the lower and middle income categories. Already, statistics from Habitat for Humanity Uganda indicate that the country’s housing deficit stands at 2.4 million housing units. As Uganda continues to urbanize, there will be an increasing demand for houses for especially young people who are doing their first or second jobs. Houses that are affordable for the lower and middle income earners will continue to be in demand for years. The investment here is also not so high and can be done incrementally over a long period of time. Besides rentals for this population segment, land banking and selling and buying are still other income generation and saving options.

Motor vehicle spare parts: If you live and work in the greater Kampala metropolitan area, you know the state of the roads in the country. Each vehicle you see on the road is a potential client. Given the state of the roads, car breakdowns are going to be the norm rather than the exception. The lack of an efficient public transport system and the culture of owning a motor vehicle considered as a yardstick of success will see an ever-increasing number of vehicles on the road. Most of these vehicles come in old from Japan and the state of the roads will ensure frequent breakdowns. Roads take time to be built even when money is available, making investing in motor vehicle spare parts a worthwhile venture.

Electric mobility: A trending photo this week was of Tesla car being offloaded from a car carrier somewhere in Uganda. Teslas are fully electric vehicles. Many development partners and blue-chip companies have started electrifying their fleets. This is a result of URA removing import duty on electric and hybrid vehicles this financial year. Kiira Motors’s vehicle plant is nearing completion with the installation of the assembly lines, paint shops and testing facilities ongoing in Jinja. But we don’t have enough mechanics and technical people to maintain these electric vehicles. We don’t even have enough well-trained electric bus drivers. The electric mobility value chain has great potential for those looking for investment opportunities this year.

Personal health: Apart from making money, many people resolve to do something about their health every new year. They perhaps understand that you can only make money if you are alive and healthy. Personal health is already an industry worth of billions of dollars globally. As the country urbanizes and a few people get out of poverty, they will always be willing to spend on their personal health making it an area with potential returns for investors.

The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.com

Tags: Denis Jjuuko, electric and hybrid vehicles, electric mobility, import duty, Kiira Motors’s vehicle plant, Motor vehicle spare parts, Out to Lunch, Personal health, Prime Time Communications, Real estate, Trading in FMCGs, Treasury bonds and bills/unit trusts, URA

Out to Lunch

#OutToLunch: Surging bank profitability offers critical lessons for small businesses

By Denis Jjuuko It is that time of the year again when commercial banks publish their financial results in the newspapers as part of fulfilling the regulations that govern them. Most of them have registered year on year increases in profitability, lending, deposits and total assets among other metrics. If you only read the commercial banks’ results and made conclusions on the economy, Uganda’s economy is in such great shape. All the commercial banks combined made more than Shs2.1 trillion in profits according to the figures they released. That translates to nearly US$6 billion. The shareholders must be smiling all the way to their banks. Those who haven’t invested in commercial banks, must be wondering how to get in. The good news is that several of these banks are listed on the stock exchange. A big chunk of the money banks reported to have made came from their loan books. It isn’t entirely surprising since the interest rates they charge are some of the highest in the world. Anyone who charges upwards of 16 percent in annual interest should be able to grow every quarter, half year and annually. But I think the steady growth in commercial banks profitability comes at the expenses of other sectors of the economy. Assets of defaulters on these commercial bank loans were advertised on the opposite pages of many of the results of the banks. One hand gives, another takes, isn’t that what we have always been told? However, there is no need to begrudge banks. They aren’t entirely responsible for the high interest rates in the country. The capital requirements to start a commercial bank are prohibitive and those who recently failed to meet them were downgraded to lower tiers. Also, the government borrows at such high rates giving banks carte blanche to charge similar and even higher rates. Those who borrow and default are also many. Banks tell us, lending to Ugandans is high risk. Probably it is. I believe you know somebody who castigated you for depositing money on their mobile money account on which they had renegaded to pay back. Anyway, what can we learn from the financial performance of the commercial banks? There many lessons especially for businesses. Commercial banks just like other big business that publish their results such as telecoms have one thing in common — repeat long term customers. When you sign up for a loan such as a mortgage, you commit to pay back for such a long period. If you borrow for say 10 years, the bank is nearly assured of making money from you for 120 months. Should you fail, they have a property you gave them as collateral to get their money bank. Some of the costs they incurred to sign a customer were a one off. And if you are a disciplined borrower, they almost incur no other costs to recover their money. Long term customers who pay periodically are a goldmine for any business. Unless otherwise, many people don’t change their bank accounts. So even those who don’t borrow, there is some monthly or usage fees they pay. A bank is therefore assured of income. Telecoms make money the same way. How many times have you changed your telephone line? Many people don’t change their telephone lines. That means that a telecom is assured of making money off you until you die. Repeat long term customer at its best. Even when you die, sometimes the family keeps the line so that there is some continuity especially for those involved in doing business. As small businesses, it may not be easy to have an assured customer for 10 years or a lifetime so there is need for them to work hard to attract repeat customers. It means improving the product all the time and constantly marketing so that customers can return regularly. Commercial banks and telecoms do that all the time because if they don’t, customers can move to other banks and telecoms respectively. There is a need to observe how they market, what they do to retain their customers and try to copy that even when small businesses don’t have unlimited budgets. The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.

June 5, 2026

Out to Lunch

#OutToLunch: Bank of Uganda’s small business fund good but….

By Denis Jjuuko Small and microbusinesses have always had issues of accessing capital either to grow or stay in business. Commercial lenders charge premiums and demand stuff that these small and microbusinesses can only dream of. In order not to sink, they usually stay off commercial loans preferring to remain small or turn to informal lenders if they really must borrow. Yet small businesses are the foundation on which economies are built. Collectively, they employ the majority of people in most economies. Look at the business near you, it is either small, medium or micro. The woman selling groceries near your home. The young man making street food. Your favourite boutique in the commercial complex near your office or even the eatery from which a young girl delivers food to your desk every lunch hour. It is perhaps under this background that the central bank decided to launch the small business fund (SBF). Of recent, the central bank has been advertising this facility. Under this fund, small businesses can borrow up to Shs500m at a maximum annual interest rate of 10% with a repayment period of up to four years. This sounds great. An annual interest rate of 10% sounds like manna from heaven in a market where the average rate is 20%. This kind of fund is designed to unlock the potential of small business and it is the right pathway for the economy to take. Access to capital by small businesses and individual entrepreneurs is one way through which Uganda can achieve its bold ambitions of being a US$500b economy by 2040. Currently, the country’s economy is around US$50b. Growing it by tenfold as the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development loves to proclaim nowadays is through strategic support to small and micro businesses among others. When the small businesses grow from a single employee to 10 or 100, that moves many people out of poverty. The Bank of Uganda must be commended for this step, at least for the idea. The challenge, however, with SBF is to find a bank that has this money or even willing to disburse it. The SBF brochure lists all the 21 commercial banks, 8 credit institutions, 2 microfinance deposit taking institutions and another 4 Saccos. When you contact most of these institutions, their staff will most likely feign ignorance or endlessly promise to get back to you which they don’t do. Sometimes, those which claim to have the money start changing goalposts halfway the application process. One of the promises they make is that they can get you the money immediately if you agree to forego the SBF and instead acquire one of their loans tailored for small businesses but at an annual interest rate of 20% or more. If you are desperate, this is most likely the road you will take. Remember, that application processes are not free. You have to pay commercial bank appointed lawyers and surveyors for verification and evaluation of the property or whatever will be acceptable as collateral. Usually, those lawyers and surveyors charge many times above the market rate. And then they have no shame in mentioning a low valuation as the forced sale rate. Sometimes a developed property is given a forced sale rate that is lower than an empty plot of land in the same neighbourhood. It is a fraudulent practice that the central bank must fight if it has good intentions for small and microbusinesses. There are so many other things commercial banks require which all cost money before money is or not even disbursed. I think that way their third-party service providers (lawyers, valuers etc.) get paid and keep in business. Anyway, the real reason commercial banks don’t want to disburse the SBF money to borrowers is a structural issue that the central bank must solve. The Bank of Uganda only provides 50% of the money under SBF with the commercial banks expected to provide the other half. If you borrow Shs100m, the small business fund only provides Shs50m and the commercial bank must provide the other Shs50m. The commercial bank has no interest in lending its 50% of the money at 10% annually when it can lend it at 20% while footing the cost of administration, marketing and recovery. The commercial banks aren’t charity organizations. The central bank should instead provide 100% of the money, allow banks to take 5% of the interest as their fees and remit the other 5% to the central bank. That way banks will be motivated to sell the SBF loans thereby enabling small business to access this credit. Otherwise, the current structure doesn’t solve the problems the central bank envisaged in creating the small business fund. The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.com

June 5, 2026

Out to Lunch

#OutToLunch Will Uganda’s newly discovered love for international airports grow the economy?

By Denis Jjuuko Uganda has discovered its latest love interest — international airports. We have always had one international airport at Entebbe and some airfields in many parts of the country. But those aren’t the talk of town or dominating online discussion groups and timelines. Construction of an international airport is underway in Kabaale just outside Hoima ostensibly to support the oil and gas sector. New ones have been proposed around Kidepo National Park to support tourism and facilitate regional trade. But the one that has led to more discussions has been the proposed one at Nyakisharara outside Mbarara town. Apparently, it will enable flights to south America to refuel from there on their journeys to Asia and elsewhere. The proposers of the airport claim that this is an existing gap. I am not an aviation expert, so I don’t know why these flights aren’t able to refuel at Entebbe or even existing airports in East Africa. I am also not sure whether it makes sense to build an international airport whose main business is refueling flights from south America. What else caused debate was the release of the artistic impressions of the Nyakisharara airport. Some people claimed the airport looked exactly the same as one somewhere in the Middle East. Some people prompted artificial intelligence apps to make one at least with the famous horns of the Ankole cows incorporated into the design. This newly found love for international airports within a few kilometres of each other have led to the continuation of a debate that never stops — the lack of scheduled domestic flights in Uganda. Up to the 1990s, there were affordable scheduled flights to Kasese, Arua and other parts of the country. Some still exist but they cost an arm and leg, unlike in developed markets in Europe where people fly for a song. There are many reasons that explain the lack of affordable domestic flights in Uganda. The infrastructure is poor enabling only small aircraft to operate at these fields. But that isn’t the biggest problem. The market simply doesn’t exist. Until oil starts flowing from the wells in western Uganda, the country’s economy is largely within a radius of 80km of Kampala. Otherwise, businesses in many parts of the country are small comprised of smallholder farmers and petty traders. The majority of these people have no genuine reason to fly to Kampala and if they have, they wouldn’t afford the tickets even cheap ones that would sustain an airline business. Bus companies have tried to provide executive coaches where people pay an extra Shs10,000 or Shs20,000 to travel in comfort. After a few months or years, they usually close and return to non-executive passengers. The argument the domestic flight enthusiasts give is that the markets for air travel is of those who drive personal cars to these towns. The statistics are hard to find but how many cars arrive in Soroti or Arua from Kampala every single day? There aren’t many. Most of these towns have few hotels but you will hardly arrive in a town and find no room for a night. That is why most people who travel to these towns don’t even bother to book accommodation in advance. They know these towns with fewer than 1,000 hotel rooms will have plenty of free rooms when they arrive. A town which can’t fill less than 1,000 hotel rooms each night probably doesn’t have much business going on. Decent hotel rooms in Uganda cost on average less than Shs100,000 a night including some sort of breakfast. If people can’t fill hotel rooms of Shs100,000, how would they fill aircraft of 50-200 seats on a regular basis for the airline to make money? Look at Members of Parliament, one of the biggest categories of high earners in Uganda. Many of those who represent constituencies outside Kampala come for their weekly meetings by night bus. They can’t afford to drive on a weekly basis. Where scheduled flights exist like Kasese, they don’t use them as well. If a high earning category in Uganda can’t afford to drive every week to Kampala, what about small trader in Kasese or Arua? Although we can improve the airfields to facilitate air travel, international airports in every corner of the country won’t lead to improved incomes for the majority of Ugandans. However, if we want tourists to avoid grueling road trips to Kisoro or Kidepo, smaller airports could do, which could be expanded with increases in traffic. Though investments in agribusinesses and small-scale industries could lead to improved incomes easily for the majority of people who then could be targeted for flying. As per now, international airports could end up as vanity projects. The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.com

June 5, 2026