Japan – Prime Time Communications

Out to Lunch

OutToLunch: China Town: Protectionism and partnerships critical for African economies

OutToLunch: China Town: Protectionism and partnerships critical for African economies By Denis Jjuuko China Town, a retail shop, in Lugogo without placing a single advert became the talk of town providing invaluable lessons for advertising and marketing executives. Shoppers looking for bargain deals claimed to have queued up from morning and left when the shop closed without having even stepped into the store. In March 2023, I wrote about China Square in Nairobi that was giving Kenyan traders sleepless nights while making consumers happy. Obviously, we may not have paid attention as a country until a company with a similar name showed up. I have heard that they are similar China something everywhere on the continent, selling stuff at laughable prices. At 1.4 billion people, Africa has a huge population that needs goods and services and even though it is the poorest continent, the volumes businesses can push cannot be entirely ignored. That is why retailers like China Town, China Square, China Mall and a plethora of others are here. Their model is the same—lower prices than elsewhere. I hope that they are selling high quality goods that have passed the tests of Uganda National Bureau of Standards (UNBS). Many traders are worried that their business models are being disrupted and their enterprises will collapse. They claim that they can’t compete anymore. That could be true. The Chinese are probably enjoying incentives from their home governments. The more products sold in consumer markets; the more days factories remain open in the producer markets. The more days factories remain open, the more people remain employed. The more taxes governments in producer markets earn. And the entire value chain is huge. Of course, these shops may not always sell imported products. Some may be locally made. The owners of such shops may approach manufacturers and sign contracts that give them lots of stuff in bulk at low rates. If a manufacturer is guaranteed a market at a certain price, they can be able to supply and remain in business. With better experiences, technologies, capital, systems and structures, these retailers may become very hard for local businesses to compete. So what countries usually do is that they decide to protect their businesses. The Americans have imposed high taxes on electric vehicles not made in the US because they know that Chinese automakers would make the likes of Tesla collapse or see a significant chunk of their revenue shrink. They have also imposed bans on some Chinese smartphones like Huawei. They have been toying with the idea of banning TikTok, the popular addictive video streaming app. The Chinese also banned American apps, which enabled their messaging apps like WeChat and Weibo become so big in China. The Europeans do the same. They have provided huge subsidies for their agricultural sector. In France, if you own a cow, you get an annual subsidy of EUR280 (Shs1.16m) annually. If you add in subsidies on land and other incentives, the farmer is in business. That also means that a farmer elsewhere can’t easily penetrate that market. There are also restrictions on importing beef and dairy products. In Africa, South Africa has some of the continent’s biggest assembling plants for cars. To protect them, South Africa doesn’t allow the importation of vehicles at their end of life from Japan or elsewhere. In fact, they don’t allow you to import any used vehicles. You can only import a brand new car which is not made in South Africa. Basically, you can only import Ferraris, Lamborghinis, Rolls Royces and such other luxury brands. They impose hefty import duties on them as well. They know that if they allow anyone to import any car they want, the auto industry will die. Uganda needs to put in place some protection policies and implement them. If Kiira Motors is making buses in Jinja, then they should not allow the importation of buses from anywhere else. You either buy the bus made in Uganda or forget about it. If there are people making household electronics in Kampala’s industrial area or Kapeeka, then others should not be imported. That way the guy who set up his plant can keep their factory open. Of course, UNBS would have to double down on its quality inspection protocols so that they ensure that only products of highest standards are made and supplied. Government would have to nip corruption in the bud for this to take place. However, in a globalized world, foreign investment cannot be fully eliminated especially in poor and transitioning economies. Global retailers and businesses would have to set up shop. Ensure that these global businesses are in partnership with local entrepreneurs that way they can learn a thing or two and will remain even if the foreigner decides to go. There will also be some capital that won’t be evacuated. The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.com

September 18, 2024

Out to Lunch

Out to Lunch: Giga factories could provide solutions to Africa’s job challenges

By Denis Jjuuko There used to be a TV series on the National Geographic channel that showed some of the biggest or busiest things in the world. From the busiest hotel in the world, train station to the airport. Imagine a hotel with 7,000 rooms, fully booked and all the guests eating breakfast at almost the same time or within a few hours. And then meals have to be prepared for a similar number as well as walk in clients. Think of an airport that handles more than 250,000 passengers a day. The same TV program also had a segment on mega factories sitting on hundreds of acres of land with thousands of employees producing some of the famous brands we know today. These series were some of the most fascinating things one can watch. A single factory as big as some of the suburbs of Kampala. If you are a regular reader of this column, you may have noticed my fascination with manufacturing. I think most countries develop by manufacturing stuff even though some have done so through financial services and being trading outposts. But the majority, it is manufacturing that creates the jobs and propels economic transformation. The United States, the world’s biggest economy, is desperate to have the factories back from China and elsewhere. Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, is known for manufacturing. Japan is also known for the same. Without mega factories in China, the majority of Chinese would be unemployed. Manufacturing creates sustainable decent jobs where the majority of people can work. It doesn’t require sophistication for workers to get things done because what the majority of factory workers do is repetitive. Within a few days on the job, a worker can easily be trained to press a button or fix something before the product goes to the next person on the line even for the most sophisticated products. Africa plays a decimal role in manufacturing relying on other countries to do so. A report by McKinsey says that Africa will need to create 18 million jobs a year to absorb the growing labour force until about 2035. Payment apps and all sorts of apps built around the Airbnb and Uber models that are attracting lots of funding from angel investors won’t be the only solution for Africa’s development. In fact, the majority of those apps are collapsing because they were surviving on capital being raised from Silicon Valley without enough customer base to sustain them. They should have known that unemployed people have no money to transact through the payment apps and are too broke to order for food on delivery apps. One of the things Africa can do is to build factories. They don’t have to be mega though like those in the TV series. We could build giga ones instead and get the continent ready for the battery market in preparation for a transition from fossils to electrification of mobility. Oil, as a scarce resource, made the countries where it was discovered wealthy. Countries couldn’t just manufacture oil. They had to drill it in the wells where it was discovered in commercially viable quantities. The world relied on them and they could sometimes refuse to pump or pumped more than required. As electric vehicles become the norm, those who will have invested in giga factories will become as important as the Arabs have been with their oil. Unlike oil which couldn’t be found anywhere in sufficient commercial quantities, anyone can build batteries and electrification components if they focused on them. There are more electric boda bodas in Kampala than ever and people have started importing electric and hybrid vehicles given that this financial year there is no import duty charged on such vehicles. The countries that are developing this capacity today won’t pass on the knowledge to Africans. The continent will continue to organize conferences sponsored by the west to talk and talk about the imbalance between the north and south and issue communiques after communiques like it has been the case for more than 60 years now. Nobody will transfer knowledge to the continent because some technocrats attended a conference and talked about it. Many of the raw materials required to make the batteries are here. What is required is to build our intellectual property to play a part in this industry. Building the giga factories on the continent will not only create sustainable decent jobs but also enable vertical integration of automotive and mobility businesses and wean Africa off its reliance on global supply chains that can easily be disrupted by geopolitical maneuvers or pandemics like we saw in 2020. The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.com

February 21, 2024

Infrastructure

#OutToLunch Privatize road rescue services to reduce accidents on our highways

#OutToLunch Privatize road rescue services to reduce accidents on our highways By Denis Jjuuko If you ever pitch rides in vehicles that belong to international organizations operating in Uganda, you will notice at least two things. The first one is that many don’t move beyond 6.00pm especially on the highways. If the time is not enough to cover the distance and be parked by 6.00pm, they reschedule to the next day. The second one is that many drivers don’t usually do speeds beyond 100kph. Yet some of these vehicles are some of the most powerful on the road — V8 or V6 engines and brought in brand new. Not the usual end of life vehicle we gladly import from Japan. The reason they insist on their vehicles moving during day is largely for safety reasons. Regardless of how modern the car headlights get, there is better visibility during the day which enables the driver to make informed decisions fast. It is more likely to find a tired driver during the night than during daytime. The assumption is that the driver would have had enough rest during the night to drive carefully during the day. At night is when you find a crazy driver that has decided to do a return journey from Arua to Kampala on the same day. Driving under the influence of alcohol is more common during the night than during the day. Many people who drink alcohol don’t do so during the day. But in the evening, they grab a bottle or several after which they sit behind the steering and drive, sometimes very long distances. Also at night, there is no traffic police on the road to warn or fine drivers breaking traffic rules. It is one of the reasons vehicles especially trucks that are in dangerous mechanical conditions (DMC) or those that are wrongly loaded tend to move at night. Apart from a police patrol vehicle stopping them occasionally, they make their trips unrestricted. Many such trucks breakdown on the roads and don’t provide enough warning for other road users. Chances are higher to ram into a stationary vehicle at night than during the day. Do road accidents occur during the day? Absolutely. But it is way safer to travel during the day in Uganda than at night. Even if you put road accidents aside, it is still safer to travel during the day as you can easily get help should you have a mechanical issue to deal with. Thugs that stage illegal road blocks also do so during the night. Of course, government should not regulate the time when we can travel on the highways but we could learn a thing or two from international organizations and why they insist that their vehicles and staff should only move during daytime. They are trying to reduce the possibility of avoidable road accidents and other incidents that could put their staff in danger. Road accidents are always in the news either when many people die in a single road incident or when a prominent person dies in one just like businessman Apollo Nyegamehe popularly known as Aponye did two weeks ago. It is not clear what exactly caused the accident that claimed his life but what we know so far is that he was traveling at night and his vehicle rammed into a stationary truck. Although the government may not legislate the time we should be moving, it can make roads safer. The model being used on the Entebbe Expressway could be deployed on all the highways or at least on the busiest ones. This can be done by reinstituting road tolls. So every road user pays a fee and the money is used to maintain the road and most importantly clearing it of any obstacles that could lead to accidents as well as helping those involved in accidents. A private competent company would be hired to provide a road safety service. Once a vehicle gets a mechanical problem or runs out of fuel (like most vehicles in Uganda do), a tow truck would arrive in time to get it off the road to ensure that it doesn’t lead to traffic delays and most importantly accidents. An ambulance would also be deployed to rush those in need of medical attention to nearby health facilities. That would require several tow trucks and ambulances (including a helicopter ambulance) deployed every predetermined distance for them to be effective. Where the need may require heavy lifting cranes, the company managing the highway would be able to put measures in place for drivers to use the road carefully until the obstacle has been cleared. The company would also maintain road signage and such other furniture. This would not end all road accidents but at least it would reduce the carnage on our highways and make them safer than they are today. The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.com

October 18, 2023