July 23, 2024

Out to Lunch

#OutToLunch: Let the demographic dividend not pass us by

By Denis Jjuuko The results of the national population census that were not overly surprising. Uganda is one of the countries with the fastest growing populations and we did not disappoint with 11.3 million added since the last census in 2014. We are now 45.9 million people. Phew! We are what some of my friends call “team no sleep” since we spend a great amount of our time producing babies. It is assumed babies are made at night when people frolic between the sheets instead of sleeping but that may not be the best way to start this article. We are a damn serious lot here! Anyway, one of the most interesting bits from the population census was the revelation that 55.6% of Uganda’s population is between ages 14 to 64. That translates to more than 25.5 million people. This is the age group that is defined as the working age. If harnessed appropriately, this demographic dividend that we have attained can lead to unprecedented economic growth. A demographic dividend leads to less resources spent on the elderly, those in retirement and even children. Those working should be able to take care of themselves and their offspring. Of course, this would require reduction in births so that investments are not put at entirely looking after children. However, it will take a while for us as a country to stop being “team no sleep.” Many people love to have several children or grandchildren. Sometimes it is because we are still an uneducated lot who believe that having more children is an insurance that protects a parent in case some of the children die. Since many children grow up by chance in Uganda, many parents would prefer to have more. If two or so die, they would not be childless, the argument goes. This means that Uganda would have to spend more money on education and health so that many people start seeing their children growing up and debunk their argument for having more kids. The more educated people are, the better chances of raising healthy kids. They will immunize them, make them sleep in mosquito nets, take them to healthy facilities when sick, and feed them better and most importantly educate them which eventually will break a cycle of poverty that most households find them in today. Also, like studies have shown, the more educated people are, the more likely to earn better. Investments in education are key in enabling people to earn better and live better lives. Many African countries have rolled out universal primary and even secondary education but the quality is low with many learners unable to read and write at the level commensurate with their level of education. Secondary education must be emphasized but also made relevant in this age of technology because this is the highest level many students in Africa attain. Digital and communication skills will be critical but also, they should leave secondary education such as O-level when they are able to do some work that can lead to sustainable employment. Integrating technical and vocational skills is important. If we massively invest in affordable high-quality education at all levels, investments will flow as businesses take advantage of our demographic dividend — a young highly trainable population. Most businesses such as factories rely on a workforce that is trainable to do repetitive work efficiently. They don’t even need to think, they need to simply add a part here and there on the assembly line or do the same thing repeatedly. Of course, there are many things that need to be in place to attract investments. Economic and political stability is crucial. And if we can’t find jobs for these 25.5 million people, there will not be political stability regardless of how many teargas canisters or pink water canons we import. If the tax revenue collection guys decide on whim how much one is to pay, it won’t make it easier for people to bring their money here either. If farmers in Masaka have to sleep in their gardens at night to protect their coffee from thieves, big coffee players will think twice before setting up their factories here. If a kick in Kampala sends you to your creator and the criminal knows police won’t find him, then people will take their money elsewhere. If Kampala remains run down as it is now, investors won’t be impressed to invest. Infrastructure is key. We can’t continuously avoid investments in the major road network in Kampala. Electricity must be available and affordable. Systems to facilitate businesses must be in place which means bureaucracy in government offices must be cut down. Civil servants should not behave as if they are doing investors local and foreign a favour. Otherwise, this demographic dividend may pass us by. The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.com

Read More »
Out to Lunch

#OutToLunch: Mpigi could be the next investment big thing

By Denis Jjuuko Mpigi town today is nondescript, a backwater town located approximately 45.8km from Kampala on the Kampala-Masaka highway. The town of almost one street is dominated by small traders, some operating in incomplete buildings or kiosks. A few branches of banks here and there. Generally, nothing much to write home about. I bet that most frequent users of the highway didn’t even know its location until recently when traffic was diverted through it to pave way for the construction of an interchange or something similar that will connect the Masaka highway to the Kampala-Mpigi Expressway that is currently under construction. When the Kampala-Mpigi Expressway is complete, the distance from Kampala to Mpigi will reduce to approximately 41.4km. That isn’t much difference in terms of kilometres until you understand the impact the expressway will create. Today, sometimes, it can take you two hours to cover the distance from Mpigi to Kampala. Other times it can be three hours or more. It is a nightmare. This is one of the busiest highways in Uganda through which the connection to Rwanda, Tanzania, parts of the Democratic Republic of Congo, Burundi and beyond is made thereby facilitating intercountry trade. It is only fitting that an expressway is under construction. To further decongest this busy highway, the government recently held a ground breaking ceremony for the construction of the Mpigi-Kasanje-Nakawuka-Kisubi road as well as the Nakawuka-Nateete road. People traveling to Entebbe from Masaka or any part of south western Uganda will not have to drive all the way to Busega and join the Kampala-Entebbe Expressway. They can use these roads to connect to Entebbe, thereby shortening the distance and cost it currently requires. There is also a ferry service on Lake Victoria connecting Entebbe at Nakiwogo to Buwaya near Mpigi. Although I described Mpigi town in unflattering terms in the opening paragraph of this article, the area surrounding the town is actually very beautiful dotted with well vegetated pristine hills that seem to kiss the sky. Atop these hills, the areas near Mpigi town provide some of the most breathtaking views of Lake Victoria. If you are a child or an aviation enthusiast, you may even find watching planes land and take off from Entebbe international airport a fascinating pastime. A few kilometres from Mpigi town is the Mabamba Swamp. If you have never heard of it, you have certainly never found bird watching interesting. If bird watching isn’t your thing, know that many tourists fly in from all over the world to watch the birds at Mabamba. The Mpanga forest range is not far from Mpigi. There is a crocodile farm and another park where people go and take selfies with lions not far from Mpigi. I don’t have to mention the Equator. But decent hotels in Mpigi are as rare as snow in Uganda. If you have never noticed, Mpigi is the same distance as Entebbe even when using the current Masaka-Mpigi road but because of traffic and congestion and under development, very few people consider Mpigi as a place where they can commute from to Kampala every day. Because of the Kampala-Entebbe Expressway, Entebbe is now so near Kampala taking people a few minutes to reach their destination. Nobody complains anymore if invited to an event in Entebbe. Try organizing an event in Mpigi and you will get many excuses. That is not going to be the case though once the network of roads under construction is complete making Mpigi the right destination for your investment. Land including that on hills with spectacular views is still relatively affordable in Mpigi compared to many other parts of greater Kampala. With the Kampala-Mpigi Expressway and the Mpigi-Kisubi road nexus complete, the time one takes to move from Mpigi to Kampala or Entebbe will be drastically reduced. Living in Mpigi and working in the central business district of Kampala or Entebbe will be as easy as pushing somebody who is squatting. A Kampala resident going to party on a beach in Mpigi will not be so difficult to try. The areas surrounding Mpigi town are going to cease being hard to reach areas. In fact, Katikkiro Charles Peter Mayiga and his team at Bulange are already planning a major housing estate in Mayembe Ga Mbogo on the outskirts of Mpigi town. Many other investors are already in the area with similar plans. Young people looking for affordable land for their first homes should look no further than Mpigi. Older ones could consider Mpigi as a potential area for their retirement. Investors in hospitality and recreation, farming to feed the ever-increasing Kampala population, housing, and satellite cities, Mpigi could be the next big thing. However, many people may not still be aware of Mpigi’s potential as a destination for investment. District local governments have commercial officers. They are usually poorly facilitated and yet they should be drivers in promoting the opportunities available. Hopefully, the one of Mpigi could now launch an Invest in Mpigi campaign. The writer is a communication and visibility consultant. djjuuko@gmail.com

Read More »